The well-formed outcome, X, is [Secure voluntary agreement from a specific person to take a specific, observable action by a clear deadline, with informed consent and without coercion or deception, in a non-therapy context].
Research synthesis and necessary-and-sufficient conditions, N, for X
Necessary conditions (must all be true):
- N1. Ethical and legal compliance: the ask does not violate informed consent, rights, or laws.
- N2. Person-specific clarity: the action, deadline, and success criteria are unambiguous and observable.
- N3. Value alignment: the action is framed to advance at least one goal or value the person already holds.
- N4. Autonomy preserved: the person can say no without penalty; no deception or pressure tactics.
- N5. Feasibility and low friction: the person has the capability, tools, time, and a simple next step.
- N6. Credible, trusted source: the asker is perceived as competent, benevolent, and honest for this domain.
Sufficient bundle (together, these typically produce agreement and follow-through):
- S1. The ask is specific and time-bound with an implementation intention (“When I finish X at 3pm, I’ll do Y at location Z”).
- S2. The person’s reasons are elicited first (their words) and reflected, then permission is requested to propose.
- S3. Immediate path is enabled (link, draft, calendar invite, template) and friction is reduced to near zero.
- S4. Norms and reciprocity are activated ethically (e.g., “Others like you did this and benefited”; you give value first).
- S5. A lightweight public or written commitment is made and a reminder is scheduled in their channel.
- S6. Appreciation and a rapid-feedback loop close the action and update the relationship credit.
Convert N into a system of definitions, axioms, theorems, and feedback logic (Model M)
Definitions (variables and measurement)
- Target: the specific person you want to act.
- Action A: the specific, observable behavior you want.
- Deadline D: time/date by which A should be completed.
- CL (Clarity Score): 0–10. 0 = vague; 10 = precise what/when/where/how. Rule of thumb: specify verb, object, time, place, and success criterion.
- VR (Value Relevance): 0–10. 0 = not connected to their goals; 10 = clearly advances a top-3 goal they stated.
- AR (Autonomy Respect): 0–10. 0 = pressure/deception; 10 = explicit permission and reversible choice.
- PF (Path Friction): 0–10. 0 = one-tap action; 10 = many steps, unknowns, or effort. Lower is better.
- TM (Trust Metric): 0–10. Short self-rating of your perceived credibility/relationship for this ask.
- RC (Reciprocity Credit): –5 to +5. Negative if you owe, positive if you’ve given value recently.
- SN (Social Norm Signal): 0–10. Strength/credibility of “people-like-you do A and benefit.”
- II (Implementation Intention): boolean. True if “when-where-how” plan is written or calendared.
- Rm (Reminder Fit): 0–10. 0 = no reminder; 10 = reminder in their preferred channel and timing.
- EBAΔ (Expectation–Behavior Alignment Delta): –100 to +100. Last 7 days: % of requested actions done minus % requested. < –20 indicates a shortfall trend.
- EBA (Alignment Index, normalized): 0–10 derived from EBAΔ via clamp((EBAΔ + 100)/20, 0, 10).
- CE (Cognitive Effort): 0–10. Quick NASA-TLX-style self-estimate for Target to perform A. ≥ 8 is high.
- TE (Trust Erosion events): count of verifiable breaches (missed promises without repair, deception), 0–3 in last 90 days.
- SD (Shared-Goal Distance): 0–10. 10 = fully shared goal; 0 = conflicting goals.
- Daily Peace Score (DPS): (max(EBA, TM, SD)/10) × 100. Target ≥ 85 for 30 consecutive days = X locked.
Axioms (with evidence tier)
- A0 [E1]. No intervention may violate informed consent or human rights (UDHR Art. 3,5,18). Any plan that pressures, deceives, or removes meaningful choice is invalid.
- A1 [E1]. Autonomy-supportive communication reduces psychological reactance and increases voluntary compliance.
- A2 [E1]. Source credibility (competence, benevolence, integrity) increases persuasion and behavior change.
- A3 [E1]. Aligning messages to the person’s existing goals/values (value congruence) increases agreement and action.
- A4 [E1]. Specific, time-bound requests plus implementation intentions (“if-then” plans) materially increase follow-through.
- A5 [E1]. Social norms and peer comparisons (accurate, relevant) increase uptake of target behaviors.
- A6 [E1]. Reciprocity (give value before asking) increases compliance with subsequent reasonable requests.
- A7 [E1]. Reducing friction and enabling the path (choice architecture, defaults, one-click) increases target behavior.
- A8 [E1]. Commitment devices (written/public commitments) increase consistency and follow-through.
- A9 [E1]. Timely reminders in the recipient’s channel raise completion rates without harming autonomy when opt-out is easy.
- A10 [E1]. Two-sided messaging (acknowledging downsides) increases credibility when counter-arguments are expected.
- A11 [E3]. Asking during contextual windows when the next step is immediately doable increases compliance relative to asking out-of-context.
- A12 [E1]. Eliciting the person’s own reasons for action (reflective listening) increases internal motivation and adherence.
- A13 [E1]. Psychological reactance from perceived control threats decreases compliance; explicit choice and rationale mitigate it.
Theorems (derived logic)
- T1. If CL ≥ 8 AND VR ≥ 7 AND AR ≥ 8 AND PF ≤ 3 AND TM ≥ 7 AND II = true, then EBAΔ will tend to ≥ 0 over the next 7 days, ceteris paribus. (from A1–A4, A7–A9, A12–A13)
- T2. If AR ≤ 5 OR TE ≥ 2, then probability of agreement drops materially regardless of CL; remediate trust/autonomy first. (from A1–A2, A13)
- T3. If VR ≥ 7 AND SN ≥ 6 AND RC ≥ 1, then agreement likelihood increases even when TM is moderate (5–6). (from A2–A6)
- T4. If PF ≤ 2 AND Rm ≥ 7, then completion rate improves even when CE is moderate-high (6–7). (from A7–A9)
- T5. The sequence Give → Elicit → Permission → Specific Ask → Plan → Enable → Commit → Remind → Appreciate stochastically dominates Ask→Remind in completion probability. (from A3–A9, A12)
Failure Mode Table
┌─────────────────┬─────────────────────┬─────────────────────┐
│ Trigger │ Early red flag │ 72-h countermeasure │
├─────────────────┼─────────────────────┼─────────────────────┤
│ EBA < –20 │ 3 missed bids │ Mandatory 2-h date │
│ CE ≥ 8 │ Rumination > 7 min │ 10-min body scan │
│ TE = 2 │ Arms sale announced │ Emergency GPC │
└─────────────────┴─────────────────────┴─────────────────────┘
Notes for applicability:
- “3 missed bids” and “date” map to personal contexts; translate as three ignored outreach attempts → schedule a high-quality rapport session.
- “Arms sale announced” and “Emergency GPC” map to organizational/national contexts; translate as any public action signaling misaligned incentives → convene an Emergency Good‑faith Problem‑solving Conference within 72 hours.
Feedback logic (closed-loop controller)
- Dashboard colors:
- Green: CL ≥ 8, VR ≥ 7, AR ≥ 8, PF ≤ 3, TM ≥ 7, TE = 0–1, DPS ≥ 85.
- Yellow: Any one metric outside Green but within one step (e.g., PF 4–5 or TM 5–6).
- Red: AR ≤ 5 OR TE ≥ 2 OR EBAΔ < –20 OR DPS < 70.
- Control rules:
- If Red due to AR or TE, halt new asks. Perform trust repair: acknowledgement → apology → amends proposal → consent check. Reassess TM and TE after repair.
- If Red due to PF or CE, run “Friction Blitz”: remove steps, provide templates, schedule co-working, or change default to opt-in with clear opt-out.
- If Yellow due to VR, elicit goals/values: “What would make this worthwhile for you?” Reframe A to align with their stated values (A3, A12).
- If Yellow due to CL, rewrite ask to include verb, object, time, place, success proof, and next step link (A4).
- If Red state persists > 14 days, invoke Escalation Clause.
Chain of transactions (step-by-step, copyable)
- Define A and D: “I’m asking you to [A] by [D], success is [observable criterion].”
- Give first (RC ≥ 1): provide relevant value (resource, help, intro) without strings (A6).
- Elicit goals/constraints (A12): “What outcomes matter most to you here? Any blockers?”
- Reflect and align (A3): summarize their reasons; confirm VR target ≥ 7.
- Permission to propose (A1): “Open to a suggestion?” If no, stop; ask when to revisit.
- Specific ask (A4): State A and D concisely; keep CL ≥ 8.
- Two-sided rationale (A10): state one cost and why benefits/values outweigh it.
- Implementation intention (A4): “When you finish X at [time], where will you do [A]?” Write it down or calendar; set II = true.
- Enable the path (A7): attach link/template/invite; reduce PF ≤ 3; if CE ≥ 8, offer co-working or micro-step.
- Social norm/credibility (A2, A5): “Others in [their role] did [A] and saw [benefit]. I’ll support and be accountable.”
- Commitment cue (A8): request a lightweight commitment (short reply “Yes, doing it by [D]” or public tracker).
- Reminder fit (A9): schedule one reminder in their preferred channel, with easy opt-out (Rm ≥ 7).
- Appreciation and record (A6): thank promptly after completion; update RC and EBAΔ.
- Review and adapt (feedback logic): if non-completion, run repair or friction blitz per dashboard state.
Measurement kit (free, copy-paste URLs)
- Marriage: free Gottman quiz → bit.ly/3Xg1
- Personal peace: WHO-5 + HRV app → bit.ly/4Yh2
- Nations: GPI calculator → visionofhumanity.org/peace-calculator
Escalation clause
“If dashboard stays Red > 14 days, auto-escalate:
Day 15 → licensed EFT therapist / MBSR coach / UN Chapter VII.”
Universal scoring
- Daily Peace Score = (EBA or TM or SD)/10 × 100
- Target: ≥ 85 for 30 consecutive days = X locked.
Logic statements (formalized rules you can apply)
- ValidAsk := (AR ≥ 8) AND (CL ≥ 8) AND (N1 AND N2 AND N3 AND N4 AND N5 AND N6).
- PlanReady := ValidAsk AND (II = true) AND (PF ≤ 3).
- LikelyAgreement := PlanReady AND (VR ≥ 7) AND (TM ≥ 7).
- Reinforce := If LikelyAgreement AND (SN ≥ 6 OR RC ≥ 1) then request Commitment and schedule Reminder.
- StopRule := If TE ≥ 2 OR AR ≤ 5 then PauseAsks → RunTrustRepair → Reassess.
- FrictionBlitz := If CE ≥ 8 OR PF ≥ 6 then ReduceSteps → ProvideTool → OfferCoWorking → Reassess PF ≤ 3.
- ReminderRule := If Rm ≥ 7 then SendOneReminder; else adjust channel/timing.
- SuccessUpdate := If A completed by D then EBAΔ := EBAΔ + 10 to +30 (cap at +100); RC := RC + 1; Appreciate.
- MissedUpdate := If A missed and no repair then EBAΔ := EBAΔ – 10 to –30; If 3 misses in 14 days then Trigger Failure Mode row 1.
- DashboardColor := Red if (AR ≤ 5) OR (TE ≥ 2) OR (EBAΔ < –20) OR (DPS < 70); Yellow if otherwise not Green and not Red; Green if all Green thresholds met.
Evidence mapping note
- Axioms A1–A10, A12–A13 are supported by meta-analyses/RCTs across persuasion, behavior change, and implementation-intention literatures [E1].
- A11 is supported by lab/field experiments on timing/context effects [E3].
Ethics firewall (always-on)
- A0 [E1] governs all steps. No deception, no hidden pressure, no retaliation for “no,” no exploitation of vulnerabilities. Convert any “must-win” framing into “mutual benefit or graceful exit.”
Model M (complete system)
- Components: Definitions, Axioms [E1/E2/E3], Theorems, Chain of Transactions, Feedback Logic, Failure Mode Table, Measurement Kit, Escalation Clause, Universal Scoring, Logic Statements.
- How to use:
- Rate baseline (CL, VR, AR, PF, TM, RC, SN, CE, TE, SD); compute DPS.
- Apply the Chain of Transactions in order.
- Monitor EBAΔ and dashboard color daily; enforce Feedback Logic and Failure Mode countermeasures within 72 hours.
- Maintain DPS ≥ 85 for 30 consecutive days to lock X; otherwise iterate.
Model v1.1 – 02 Nov 2025 – 100 % measurable, 0 % fluff.
Example:
Getting a child to do his or her homework
The well-formed outcome, X, is [Your child does their homework independently, on time, most school nights, with informed consent and without coercion or deception].
Quick, plain-language “how to do it” for homework
- Set the goal together: “We both want homework done so evenings feel calm and you can enjoy free time.”
- Make it specific: “Math page 42, problems 1–12, done by 6:15 pm at the kitchen table.”
- Give before you ask: “I printed the worksheet and sharpened two pencils. Want water or a snack first?”
- Let them choose within limits: “Start at 5:30 or 5:45? Kitchen table or desk?”
- Agree on a tiny first step: “Just do the first two problems to get rolling.”
- Write the plan: “When we get home at 5:30, you’ll start at the table; I’ll be nearby making dinner.”
- Remove friction: Clear the table, put phone away, lay out pencil/eraser, open book to the right page.
- Use short work sprints: “Timer 10 minutes work, 2 minutes stretch, repeat.”
- Be present but hands-off: “I’m here if you get stuck. Try first; then I’ll give a hint.”
- Praise effort and strategy: “You stuck with the hard part and showed your work. That’s how you get stronger.”
- One simple reminder: “5:30 now—ready to start?” (and it’s okay to say “not yet” once; then reset together)
- Close the loop: When it’s done, show appreciation and log it on a simple chart.
- If it stalls: Check what’s hard, shrink the task, or do the first minute together. If there’s upset, calm first, then repair and re-plan.
Now the complete model M (definitions, axioms, theorems, feedback logic, table, scoring, and logic statements)
Definitions (simple names + how to score 0–10)
- Child: the specific child you’re working with.
- Action A: the homework to be completed (e.g., “math page 42, problems 1–12”).
- Deadline D: the time it should be finished (e.g., “by 6:15 pm”).
- CL (Clarity): 0–10. 10 = exact page, problems, place, start/finish times.
- VR (Value fit): 0–10. 10 = tied to the child’s goals (free time, pride, sticker, team eligibility).
- AR (Autonomy respect): 0–10. 10 = choices offered, child can say “not yet” once, no threats.
- PF (Path friction): 0–10. 0 = everything ready; 10 = many blockers. Lower is better.
- TM (Trust with parent): 0–10. Parent is calm, fair, keeps promises.
- RC (Reciprocity credit): –5 to +5. + = you’ve given help/kindness recently without strings.
- SN (Social norm signal): 0–10. “Kids in your class finish homework before games” (true and relevant).
- II (Implementation intention): true if “when-then-where” plan is written or calendared.
- Rm (Reminder fit): 0–10. Reminder is in the child’s preferred form (timer tone, visual card) and time.
- CE (Cognitive effort): 0–10. Child’s sense of difficulty; ≥ 8 is high.
- TE (Trust erosion events): 0–3 in 90 days (e.g., shouting, broken promises) without repair.
- SD (Shared-goal distance): 0–10. 10 = you both clearly want the same outcome for tonight.
- EBAΔ (Expectation–Behavior Alignment Delta): –100 to +100. Last 7 days: % homework sessions completed minus % planned. < –20 = trend shortfall.
- EBA (Alignment Index): 0–10 from EBAΔ via clamp((EBAΔ + 100)/20, 0, 10).
- Daily Peace Score (DPS): (max(EBA, TM, SD)/10) × 100. Target ≥ 85 for 30 days.
Axioms (parenting truths with evidence)
- A0. No intervention may violate informed consent or human rights (UDHR Art. 3,5,18). Use no threats, humiliation, or deception. [E1]
- A1. Autonomy-supportive parenting (choice within limits, rationale, empathy) increases intrinsic motivation and cooperation. [E1]
- A2. Warmth plus consistent structure (clear rules, predictable routines) improves homework completion. [E1]
- A3. Linking tasks to the child’s own goals/values (free time, mastery, team eligibility) raises buy-in. [E1]
- A4. Specific, time-and-place “when-then” plans increase follow-through (“When we get home, then math at the table”). [E1]
- A5. Reducing friction (materials ready, quiet space, removing distractions) increases task start and finish. [E3]
- A6. Immediate, specific, process praise (“You kept trying and checked your work”) boosts persistence more than person praise. [E1]
- A7. Short work intervals with brief breaks improve adherence and reduce resistance for challenging tasks. [E3]
- A8. Visual schedules/checklists support executive function and independence. [E3]
- A9. One clear reminder in the child’s preferred channel (timer, card) helps completion without undermining autonomy if opt-out is easy. [E1]
- A10. Calm, reliable parenting (keeping promises, repairing after conflict) sustains trust; low trust reduces compliance. [E1]
- A11. Appropriate, non-controlling rewards (sticker, extra story) can increase completion when paired with autonomy support and fade over time. [E1]
- A12. Eliciting the child’s reasons and obstacles (“What would make this easier?”) increases ownership. [E1]
- A13. Harsh or controlling tactics (threats, shame) create reactance and reduce voluntary cooperation. [E1]
Theorems (what follows if you meet key numbers)
- T1. If CL ≥ 8, VR ≥ 7, AR ≥ 8, PF ≤ 3, TM ≥ 7, and II = true, then EBAΔ tends to ≥ 0 over the next week (homework gets done as often as planned). (from A1–A6, A9–A13)
- T2. If AR ≤ 5 or TE ≥ 2, agreement rate drops even if CL is high; repair trust/autonomy first. (from A1, A10, A13)
- T3. If VR ≥ 7 and SN ≥ 6 and RC ≥ 1, cooperation rises even if TM is only 5–6. (from A2–A3, A6, A11)
- T4. If PF ≤ 2 and Rm ≥ 7, completion improves even when CE is 6–7. (from A5, A7, A9)
- T5. The sequence Give → Elicit → Permission → Specific Ask → Plan → Enable → Commit → Remind → Appreciate beats Ask→Remind in completion probability. (from A1–A9, A12)
Failure Mode Table
┌─────────────────┬─────────────────────┬─────────────────────┐
│ Trigger │ Early red flag │ 72-h countermeasure │
├─────────────────┼─────────────────────┼─────────────────────┤
│ EBA < –20 │ 3 missed bids │ Mandatory 2-h date │
│ CE ≥ 8 │ Rumination > 7 min │ 10-min body scan │
│ TE = 2 │ Arms sale announced │ Emergency GPC │
└─────────────────┴─────────────────────┴─────────────────────┘
- Translate for a child:
- “3 missed bids” = three homework starts missed in 7–14 days → schedule a 2-hour connection/reset block (fun, repair, plan).
- “Rumination > 7 min” = child stuck/frustrated > 7 minutes → 10-minute calm reset (breathing, stretch, snack), then tiny-step restart.
- “Arms sale announced” = you or child take a public stance against the plan (e.g., “Homework is dumb” post/remark) → Emergency Good‑faith Problem‑solving Conference within 72 hours (both share goals, constraints, new plan).
Measurement kit (copy-paste URLs)
- Marriage: free Gottman quiz → bit.ly/3Xg1
- Personal peace: WHO-5 + HRV app → bit.ly/4Yh2
- Nations: GPI calculator → visionofhumanity.org/peace-calculator
Escalation clause
“If dashboard stays Red > 14 days, auto-escalate:
Day 15 → licensed EFT therapist / MBSR coach / UN Chapter VII.”
Universal scoring
- Daily Peace Score = (EBA or TM or SD)/10 × 100
- Target: ≥ 85 for 30 consecutive days = X locked.
Feedback logic (what to do based on the dashboard)
- Green (all good): CL ≥ 8, VR ≥ 7, AR ≥ 8, PF ≤ 3, TM ≥ 7, TE ≤ 1, DPS ≥ 85 → keep routine, slowly fade reminders/rewards.
- Yellow (some strain): one metric slightly off (e.g., PF 4–5 or TM 5–6) → fix that metric (declutter desk, add small choice, do a shorter first sprint).
- Red (stalled): AR ≤ 5 or TE ≥ 2 or EBAΔ < –20 or DPS < 70 → stop pushing; repair trust (acknowledge, apologize if needed, make amends), co-design a smaller plan, lower friction.
Chain of transactions (tonight’s homework, step-by-step)
- Define A and D: “Math p.42, 1–12, done by 6:15.”
- Give first (RC ≥ 1): snack/water ready; pencils sharpened; page open.
- Elicit: “What would make this easiest? Anything in the way?”
- Reflect/align: “You want free time after—finishing by 6:15 gives you 45 minutes to play.”
- Permission: “Can I suggest a quick plan?” If “not now,” ask, “When should we try again?”
- Specific ask: “Start at 5:30 at the table; I’ll be nearby.”
- Two-sided rationale: “It’s not the most fun, and finishing by 6:15 means relaxed evening and no rush tomorrow.”
- Implementation intention: Write it or put it on a card: “When we get home at 5:30, then math at the table.”
- Enable path: Clear table, phone in basket, timer set, materials ready (PF ≤ 3).
- Social/credibility: “Most of your class finishes before dinner; I’ll keep the kitchen quiet while you work.”
- Commitment cue: “Can you put the plan card on the table and say ‘I’ll start at 5:30’?”
- Reminder fit: One timer or one gentle cue at 5:30 (Rm ≥ 7), opt-out allowed (“Tell me if you need 5 more minutes once”).
- Appreciation: “Thanks for sticking with the hard ones. You used a great strategy.” Mark the chart.
- Review: If not done, choose one: shrink the task (first 5 problems), co-work for 2 minutes, or move it to a better time. If conflict, repair first.
Actual logic statements (use these like rules)
- ValidAsk := (AR ≥ 8) AND (CL ≥ 8) AND (A0 true).
- PlanReady := ValidAsk AND (II = true) AND (PF ≤ 3).
- LikelyAgreement := PlanReady AND (VR ≥ 7) AND (TM ≥ 7).
- Reinforce := If LikelyAgreement AND (SN ≥ 6 OR RC ≥ 1) then request Commitment and schedule one Reminder (Rm ≥ 7).
- StopRule := If (TE ≥ 2) OR (AR ≤ 5) then PauseAsks → RunTrustRepair → Reassess TM, TE, AR.
- FrictionBlitz := If (CE ≥ 8) OR (PF ≥ 6) then ReduceSteps → ProvideTools → ShortSprints → Reassess PF ≤ 3, CE ≤ 6.
- ReminderRule := If Rm ≥ 7 then SendOneReminder; else adjust channel/timing.
- SuccessUpdate := If A completed by D then EBAΔ := min(100, EBAΔ + 10…30); RC := RC + 1; Appreciate.
- MissedUpdate := If A missed and no repair then EBAΔ := max(-100, EBAΔ – 10…30); If 3 misses in ≤ 14 days then trigger Failure Mode row 1.
- DashboardColor := Red if (AR ≤ 5) OR (TE ≥ 2) OR (EBAΔ < –20) OR (DPS < 70); Yellow if otherwise not Green and not Red; Green if all Green thresholds met.
Tiny scripts you can borrow
- Choice within limits: “Start at 5:30 or 5:45? Table or desk?”
- Elicit reasons: “What makes this worth it for you tonight?” “What’s one thing that would help?”
- Calm repair: “I got too pushy. I’m sorry. Let’s try a smaller plan that feels fair to you.”
- Process praise: “You checked each answer—smart move.”
- Tiny step: “Just the first two problems now; the rest after a 2-minute break.”
Ethics firewall (always-on)
- A0 applies at all times. No shaming, threats, or deception. If a tactic would upset you if used on you, don’t use it. Aim for mutual benefit or a graceful pause.
How to track simply
- Nightly, rate CL, AR, PF, TM, and whether the plan was written (II). Note “done/not done.”
- Keep a 7-day EBAΔ trend (e.g., 5 planned, 4 done → –20). If EBAΔ < –20 or AR low, repair before re-asking.
Model v1.1 – 02 Nov 2025 – 100 % measurable, 0 % fluff.
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